Sunday, September 5, 2010

AFC South Preview - The Colts Are At It Again

AFC SOUTH PREVIEW
The South has been one of the best divisions in the NFL for awhile now. Peyton Manning wakes up in the morning, and pisses a 10 win season, the Texans would be a perrenial playoff team in over half of the divisions in the league, the Titans have sneakily been one of the best regular season teams in the past decade, and the Jaguars... well.... they're there too. I don't think this division is quite as talented as they have been in the past few seasons, but a moderate schedule could sneak a wildcard team into the playoffs from this division. I don't see it happening, but it could.
Houston Texans
The Texans have had a rough draw - they joined the league and immediately were put into one of the toughest divisions in the NFL. Do you know what the Texans divisional record has been over the past 3 years? It's 4-14. They are 23-11 outside of their division over that span. For a team that is always hovering around .500, that's a kick in the dick.

Welcome to the NFL!

They brought in Matt Schaub to lead their offense, and if their runningbacks can stop fumbling for a few carries, this team's offense is going to be nearly unstoppable. I love Owen Daniels, and Andre Johnson perpetually destroys defenses hopes and dreams. Unfortunately, they have to put a defense on the field too. The Texan's defense is like Jessica Simpson as of late. Sure, she has great boobs, but beyond those boobs, there's just a lot of fat, and it really isn't pretty. The Texans' double D's are Mario Williams, Brian Cushing, and DeMeco Ryans. While Brendan Pollard, Eugene Wilson, and Amobi Okeye bring a great personality to the table, no one is going to like this chick until she trims some fat and gets her curves back in the right places.

Prediction:

I probably was a bit harsh on the defense up there - they're a mediocre group that hopefully will develop into a legit threat. The Texans luck out by playing the AFC West, who they should destroy, but unfortunately, they also play the NFC East, which is the one division that has been significantly better than the AFC South over the past decade. They suffer through another .500ish season, going 7-9.

Indianapolis Colts

Peyton Manning.

Prediction:

12-4

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are trying to be a team like the Ravens or Steelers - have a ferocious D, and a great rushing attack, and the rest will just fall into place. The problem is that the Jaguars simply don't have a ferocious defense. It's very average-ish and relatively unimpressive. Can you name 4 starters from their D? I tried, and I got 3, one of whom I only know because he was added this year, and when I went to go see who the hell they had starting, I saw Reggie Nelson was just traded, so I'm down to 2. While I do think Aaron Kampman was a great pickup for them, they simply don't have enough pieces to be a legitimate threat on defense. Sure, they'll be a decent D, and that'd be good enough for a team like the Texans or the Colts, but offensively, they won't put up the points to keep pace with their opponents. Yes, MJD is a beast, and their receivers are the best they've had in years, but the most important player on their team is going to be David Gerrard, and he simply isn't good enough. If he were on the Jets, I'd have them as a Super Bowl lock, but on a team with a bad defense, your QB needs to be more than reliable and steady.

Prediction:

Rough year for the Jags. They go 6-10 and start looking for a new QB.

Tennessee Titans

Everyone seems to be pretty high on the Titans, and for good reason. Vince Young finally seems to have his head on straight, they have a decent D, a good line, and the most explosive player in the NFL. It seems like they're poised to take the next step, right? In my opinion, no, they're not. Yes, Chris Johnson is absurdly good. I get it. I really do, but remember that he was absurdly good last season too, and they were a .500 football team. And for the most part, their wins came against piss-poor competition. During the offseason, they let go of their very underrated DE Kyle Vandenbosch, and their defensive leader Keith Bullock. They replaced these guys with a couple of Eagles castoffs in Witherspoon and Babin, who hasn't started in this league since he played in Houston, which was 3 years ago. I can't help but look at this defense and wonder where the pass rush is going to come from? They were the 2nd worst passing defense in the league last year, and the 5th worst overall, and yet they still have the reputation of being a "solid" D. Unless Vince Young can move the ball efficiently and put points on the board, this team is going to struggle more than people realize.

Prediction:

They finish 6-10 and draft a pass rusher early next year.

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